Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.183643 0.216659 0.253456 0.297443 0.348533 0.405934 0.475252
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.134931 0.178504 0.232380 0.303606 0.394987 0.507952 0.657820
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.102854 0.149168 0.211367 0.300390 0.423809 0.588027 0.822089
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.085046 0.133160 0.202357 0.308067 0.464160 0.684544 1.017208
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.069884 0.117141 0.189355 0.306177 0.488428 0.759297 1.188846
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.057365 0.102365 0.175045 0.298891 0.501909 0.817822 1.341285
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.047366 0.089604 0.161424 0.289822 0.510083 0.867490 1.483776
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.041903 0.083557 0.157730 0.296139 0.543346 0.959590 1.702907
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.037042 0.077656 0.153210 0.300004 0.572289 1.046849 1.922326
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.032612 0.071742 0.147650 0.300922 0.595607 1.126215 2.135515
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.029243 0.067332 0.144197 0.305111 0.625032 1.218800 2.380740
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.027030 0.064940 0.144307 0.316112 0.668400 1.340687 2.690879
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.023320 0.058696 0.135781 0.308816 0.675665 1.397015 2.886649
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.020919 0.055014 0.132154 0.311293 0.703072 1.495134 3.173455
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.018358 0.050461 0.125889 0.307102 0.715871 1.565360 3.411777
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.016915 0.048410 0.124992 0.314726 0.754831 1.692373 3.777217
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.015071 0.044962 0.120252 0.312747 0.772142 1.775693 4.059490
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.013176 0.041003 0.113633 0.305303 0.775959 1.830261 4.285433
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.011451 0.037165 0.106700 0.296048 0.774273 1.872322 4.487754
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.010628 0.035797 0.106003 0.302491 0.811060 2.004088 4.901839
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.009785 0.034197 0.104435 0.306434 0.842095 2.125536 5.303443
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.008917 0.032347 0.101881 0.307371 0.865608 2.231539 5.678794
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.008251 0.031016 0.100604 0.311644 0.898231 2.362309 6.124283